Notes on our price data

Where does the data come from?

• The source of the data are exclusively public non-confidential sources. We have no access to primary data
• This the index trend of the price trend of the "product category" in general, and not a single specification of the product in particular
• The data is a combination of contract and spot pricing
• Our automated algorithms are set up to eliminate significant product mix impact on the trend
• We combine public publications, import/export records, trading prices, company announcements, magazine articles, tweets, and other sources of ad-hoc public information.
• The chart shows the our best approximation of the market trend based on our automated algorithm´s interpretation of the signals
• For most indexes we have multiple sources and the automation focuses on using statistically-correlated sources
• As a function of our automation, it is likely that recent trends will be adjusted as we discover more information. So, for example, the price trend for February 2024 will be first calculated in February 2024 and adjusted in March, April and May 2024.
• Likewise, we will update the data trend as more information becomes available, and this means that recent trends will always be adjusted as we get more data available
• The algorithm will regularly revise our understanding of market trends, and indicated market trends may change
• The data is presented in US$. The UOM of measure is shown in the Index list table
• Our automated software and we do our best to create an accurate representation of the trend

Where does the data NOT come from?

• We do not purchase data from any other source and republish it.
• We will not purchase data from any other source and republish it
• We do not extrapolate trends, even for the forecast. We look for market signals and leading indicators

What data should our company use?

• If you are making decisions driving significant share of profit, we always recommend that you buy data from the companies who invest in direct market access such as ICIS, amongst many others
• Our data, at best, represents an estimate of the market trend based on public information
• We have no direct access to the market, and we do not interview suppliers and customers
• Our automated analysis tools in the online software are set up to combine our data with other sources of data
• We do not recommend that you use our data for direct price mechanisms, as we may change and improve the data trends over time, including historical data

What does the quality indication in the main menu mean?

• Quality level A: Data is from a reliable and confirmed source
• Quality level B: Data is from multiple credible sources and there are no major statistical inconsistencies between them
• Quality level C: Data is from multiple credible sources and there are some statistical inconsistencies between them
• Quality level D: Data is from a single credible source, but we cannot verify the data
• Quality level E: Data is either:
  • From a single source, which we consider reliable, but we cannot verify the data.
  • From 2 or more sources which have some periods of contradicting trends.
• Quality level F: Data is from a single source which we consider indicatively correct, but the data is anecdotal and we cannot verify the data.

What are the disclaimers?

• We assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this site.
• The information is provided on an “as is” basis with no guarantee of completeness, accuracy, usefulness, fitness for purpose or timeliness.
• By their nature, outlooks are always uncertain

How often do we update the data?

• We aim to update the data series on the 12th of each month (or earlier) but we will often do an update around the 25th of each month (but we do not always make it for each chart)
• The data for the current month and recent history are fine-tuned over time.

What are we doing to improve the data?

• We are continually improving our data collection and processing methods
• Pricing data will be updated from time to time as we improve the accuracy
• We are reviewing all data sources in the first half of 2024.
  • There will be continuous fine-tuning of the trend and forecast algorithm as part of that.
  • The key focus in 2024 is to add many additional indexes

How can i give feedback on the data or request for new indexes

• Feel free to contact us if you have a specific request. You can reach us via the Contact us page